000 02988nam a22003617a 4500
999 _c151126
_d151126
003 CR-SiIICA
005 20230705175902.0
007 ta
008 230705t2012 ||||| |||| 00| 0 spa d
040 _aCR-SiIICA
_beng
041 _aeng
100 _aJarvis, Andy
100 _aRamirez-Villegas, Julian
100 _aHerrera Campo, Beatriz
100 _aNavarro-Racines, Carlos
245 _aIs Cassava the Answer to African Climate Change Adaptation?
260 _bTropical Plant Biology
_c2012
270 _aSan José, C.R.
300 _a29 páginas
520 _aThis paper examines the impacts of climate change on cassava production in Africa, and questions whether cassava can play an important role in climate change adaptation. First, we examine the impacts that climate change will likely have on cassava itself, and on other important staple food crops for Africa including maize, millets, sorghum, banana, and beans based on projections to 2030. Results indicate that cassava is actually positively impacted in many areas of Africa, with −3.7% to +17.5% changes in climate suitability across the continent. Conversely, for other major food staples, we found that they are all projected to experience negative impacts, with the greatest impacts for beans (−16% ± 8.8), potato (−14.7 ± 8.2), banana (−2.5% ± 4.9), and sorghum (−2.66% ± 6.45). We then examined the likely challenges that cassava will face from pests and diseases through the use of ecological niche modeling for cassava mosaic disease, whitefly, brown streak disease and cassava mealybug. The findings show that the geographic distribution of these pests and diseases are projected to change, with both new areas opening up and areas where the pests and diseases are likely to leave or reduce in pressure. We finish the paper by looking at the abiotic traits of priority for crop adaptation for a 2030 world, showing that greater drought tolerance could bring some benefits in all areas of Africa, and that cold tolerance in Southern Africa will continue to be a constraint for cassava despite a warmer 2030 world, hence breeding needs to keep a focus on this trait. Importantly, heat tolerance was not found to be a major priority for crop improvement in cassava in the whole of Africa, but only in localized pockets of West Africa and the Sahel. The paper concludes that cassava is potentially highly resilient to future climatic changes and could provide Africa with options for adaptation whilst other major food staples face challenges.
650 _aCLIMATE CHANGE
_9140717
650 _aCASSAVA
_9139660
650 _aMAIZE
_9153644
650 _aBANANA
_9137486
650 _aBEANS
_9137651
650 _aFOOD CROPS
_9148272
650 _aCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTION
_9140719
651 _aAFRICA
_9350181
787 _aGCF CARICOM AgReady Reference
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s12042-012-9096-7
_yeng
942 _2z
_cRED